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Coronavirus Cases Maybe 10 Times Higher Than Reported !

Observations from the Johns Hopkins University real-time tracking dashboard indicate that Coronavirus cases maybe 10 times higher than reported. In response to the ongoing public health emergency, Johns Hopkins University developed an interactive web-based dashboard hosted by the Center for Systems Science and Engineering (CSSE) at Johns Hopkins University, to visualize and track reported Coronavirus cases in real-time.

Covid 19 predictions and Coronavirus prophecies. http://www.alamongordo.com

Among the serious observations available in a post under the heading “Public Health” dated January 31, 2020 from Johns Hopkins University Whiting School of Engineering are two significant claims that still stand entirely neglected in media treatment:

That official China novel Coronavirus statistics were at least at that writing nearly six weeks ago only reflective of 10% of actually occurring cases; that is, that the figures issuing from China should be considered depressed by 90% by whatever semantics one allows to indulge China’s self-exculpatory pretense of obliviousness in statistic-gathering and/or reporting strategies, and that novel Coronavirus infections already had numbered in the hundreds at least in Wuhan as of November 2019.

Estimated vs. Reported Cases of 2019-nCoV cases globally - www.alamongordo.com

One may note in this regard that collation of Coronavirus COVID-19 cases on the Johns Hopkins real-time dashboard indicates both The World Health Organization and United States Center for Disease Control as figuring among its contributing data sources.

Altogether, the foregoing presents a peculiar disparity of figures and posturing. On the one hand, following the first point above, it is suggested conversely that even at least as of January 31, 2020, cases of novel Coronavirus in Mainland China should be calculated at ten times the reported number; from which to present at least a ten-fold assumption would hold because currently reported decreases in cases at this writing would be speciously based on modeling from the 90% under-reporting that it is reasonable to impute in large measure to WHO and CDC as significant source base for Johns Hopkins, which wisely indicates the disparity for consideration.

Then, considering the second point, assuming hundreds of cases extant already in Wuhan as of any time in November, 2019, there could be no possible way to accept China’s initial figures at all. Johns Hopkins politely states the case for us and it may perhaps be perilous to neglect this intended or unintended favor hiding in plain sight.

Heatmap of Countries and regions with highest risk of imported 2019-nCoV cases. http://www.alamongordo.com/ CoronaVirus

This information was forwarded by the author to United States Congresswoman Judy Chu (Democrat, California’s 27th Congressional District). Rep. Chu currently serves on the House Ways and Means Committee, which has jurisdiction over legislation pertaining to taxes, revenues, Social Security, and Medicare. In that Committee, Rep. Chu is a member of the Subcommittees on Health and Human Resources, Worker and Family Support, and Oversight, giving her oversight over healthcare reform and crucial safety net programs. However, as of this writing no reply has been forthcoming from Ms. Chu or any of her staff on the matter.

References:

  1. The reference to the official January 31, 2020 public-health posting is archived on the Johns Hopkins site: https://systems.jhu.edu/research/public-health/ncov-model-2/
  2. The live dashboard: https://www.arcgis.com/apps/opsdashboard/index.html#/bda7594740fd40299423467b48e9ecf6

By Russell Errett, Professor Emeritus for GreatGameIndia.

Filed Under: Conspiracy Tagged With: , , , , , , , , ,

Is CoronaVirus a Chinese made bioweapon ?

How China Stole Coronavirus From Canada And Weaponized It

Last year a mysterious shipment was caught smuggling Coronavirus from Canada. It was traced to Chinese agents working at a Canadian lab. Subsequent investigation by GreatGameIndia linked the agents to Chinese Biological Warfare Program from where the virus is suspected to have leaked causing the Wuhan Coronavirus outbreak. (This report on Coronavirus Bioweapon has caused a major international controversy and is suppressed actively by a section of mainstream media.)

The Saudi SARS Sample

On June 13, 2012 a 60-year-old Saudi man was admitted to a private hospital in Jeddah, Saudi Arabia, with a 7-day history of fever, cough, expectoration, and shortness of breath. He had no history of cardiopulmonary or renal disease, was receiving no long-term medications, and did not smoke.

Egyptian virologist Dr. Ali Mohamed Zaki isolated and identified a previously unknown coronavirus from his lungs. After routine diagnostics failed to identify the causative agent, Zaki contacted Ron Fouchier, a leading virologist at the Erasmus Medical Center (EMC) in Rotterdam, the Netherlands, for advice.

Fouchier sequenced the virus from a sample sent by Zaki. Fouchier used a broad-spectrum “pan-coronavirus” real-time polymerase chain reaction (RT-PCR) method to test for distinguishing features of a number of known coronaviruses known to infect humans.

This Coronavirus sample was acquired by Scientific Director Dr. Frank Plummer (key to Coronavirus investigation Frank Plummer was recently assassinated in Africa) of Canada’s National Microbiology Laboratory (NML) in Winnipeg directly from Fouchier, who received it from Zaki. This virus was reportedly stolen from the Canadian lab by Chinese agents.

The Canadian Lab

Coronavirus arrived at Canada’s NML Winnipeg facility on May 4, 2013 from the Dutch lab. The Canadian lab grew up stocks of the virus and used it to assess diagnostic tests being used in Canada. Winnipeg scientists worked to see which animal species can be infected with the new virus.

Research was done in conjunction with the Canadian Food Inspection Agency’s national lab, the National Centre for Foreign Animal Diseases which is housed in the same complex as the National Microbiology Laboratory.

NML has a long history of offering comprehensive testing services for coronaviruses. It isolated and provided the first genome sequence of the SARS coronavirus and identified another coronavirus NL63 in 2004.

This Winnipeg based Canadian lab was targeted by Chinese agents in what could be termed as Biological Espionage.

Chinese Biological Espionage

In March 2019, in mysterious event a shipment of exceptionally virulent viruses from Canada’s NML ended up in China. The event caused a major scandal with Bio-warfare experts questioning why Canada was sending lethal viruses to China. Scientists from NML said the highly lethal viruses were a potential bio-weapon.

Following investigation, the incident was traced to Chinese agents working at NML. Four months later in July 2019, a group of Chinese virologists were forcibly dispatched from the Canadian National Microbiology Laboratory (NML). The NML is Canada’s only level-4 facility and one of only a few in North America equipped to handle the world’s deadliest diseases, including Ebola, SARS, Coronavirus, etc.

Xiangguo Qiu – The Chinese Bio-Warfare Agent

The NML scientist who was escorted out of the Canadian lab along with her husband, another biologist, and members of her research team is believed to be a Chinese Bio-Warfare agent Xiangguo Qiu. Qiu was the head of the Vaccine Development and Antiviral Therapies Section in the Special Pathogens Program at Canada’s NML.

Xiangguo Qiu is an outstanding Chinese scientist born in Tianjin. She primarily received her medical doctor degree from Hebei Medical University in China in 1985 and came to Canada for graduate studies in 1996. Later on, she was affiliated with the Institute of Cell Biology and the Department of Pediatrics and Child Health of the University of Manitoba, Winnipeg, not engaged with studying pathogens. 

But a shift took place, somehow. Since 2006, she has been studying powerful viruses in Canada’s NML. The viruses shipped from the NML to China were studied by her in 2014, for instance (together with the viruses Machupo, Junin, Rift Valley Fever, Crimean-Congo Hemorrhagic Fever and Hendra).

Infiltrating the Canadian Lab

Dr. Xiangguo Qiu is married to another Chinese scientist – Dr. Keding Cheng, also affiliated with the NML, specifically the “Science and Technology Core”. Dr. Cheng is primarily a bacteriologist who shifted to virology. The couple is responsible for infiltrating Canada’s NML with many Chinese agents as students from a range of Chinese scientific facilities directly tied to China’s Biological Warfare Program, namely:

  1. Institute of Military Veterinary, Academy of Military Medical Sciences, Changchun
  2. Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Chengdu Military Region
  3. Wuhan Institute of Virology, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Hubei
  4. Institute of Microbiology, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing

All of the above four mentioned Chinese Biological Warfare facilities collaborated with Dr. Xiangguo Qiu within the context of Ebola virus, the Institute of Military Veterinary joined a study on the Rift Valley fever virus too, while the Institute of Microbiology joined a study on Marburg virus. Noticeably, the drug used in the latter study – Favipiravir – has been earlier tested successfully by the Chinese Academy of Military Medical Sciences, with the designation JK-05 (originally a Japanese patent registered in China already in 2006), against Ebola and additional viruses.

However, the studies by Dr. Qiu are considerably more advanced and apparently vital for the Chinese biological weapons development in case Coronavirus, Ebola, Nipah, Marburg or Rift Valley fever viruses are included therein.

The Canadian investigation is ongoing and questions remain whether previous shipments to China of other viruses or other essential preparations, took place from 2006 to 2018, one way or another.

Dr. Xiangguo Qiu also collaborated in 2018 with three scientists from the US Army Medical Research Institute of Infectious Diseases, Maryland, studying post-exposure immunotherapy for two Ebola viruses and Marburg virus in monkeys; a study supported by the US Defense Threat Reduction Agency.

The Wuhan Coronavirus

Dr. Xiangguo Qiu made at least five trips over the school year 2017-18 to the above mentioned Wuhan National Biosafety Laboratory of the Chinese Academy of Sciences, which was certified for BSL4 in January 2017. Moreover, in August 2017, the National Health Commission of China approved research activities involving Ebola, Nipah, and Crimean-Congo hemorrhagic fever viruses at the Wuhan facility.

Coincidentally, the Wuhan National Biosafety Laboratory is located only 20 miles away from the Huanan Seafood Market which is the epicenter of the Coronavirus outbreak dubbed the Wuhan Coronavirus.

The Wuhan National Biosafety Laboratory is housed at the Chinese military facility Wuhan Institute of Virology linked to China’s Biological Warfare Program. It was the first ever lab in the country designed to meet biosafety-level-4 (BSL-4) standards – the highest biohazard level, meaning that it would be qualified to handle the most dangerous pathogens. 

In January 2018, the lab was operational ‘for global experiments on BSL-4 pathogens,’ wrote Guizhen Wu in the journal Biosafety and Health. ‘After a laboratory leak incident of SARS in 2004, the former Ministry of Health of China initiated the construction of preservation laboratories for high-level pathogens such as SARS, coronavirus, and pandemic influenza virus,’ wrote Guizhen Wu.

Coronavirus Bioweapon

The Wuhan institute has studied coronaviruses in the past, including the strain that causes Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome, or SARS, H5N1 influenza virus, Japanese encephalitis, and dengue. Researchers at the institute also studied the germ that causes anthrax – a biological agent once developed in Russia.

“Coronaviruses (particularly SARS) have been studied in the institute and are probably held therein,” said Dany Shoham, a former Israeli military intelligence officer who has studied Chinese biowarfare. He said. “SARS is included within the Chinese BW program, at large, and is dealt with in several pertinent facilities.”

James Giordano, a neurology professor at Georgetown University and senior fellow in Biowarfare at the U.S. Special Operations Command, said China’s growing investment in bio-science, looser ethics around gene-editing and other cutting-edge technology and integration between government and academia raise the spectre of such pathogens being weaponized. 

That could mean an offensive agent, or a modified germ let loose by proxies, for which only China has the treatment or vaccine. “This is not warfare, per se,” he said. “But what it’s doing is leveraging the capability to act as global saviour, which then creates various levels of macro and micro economic and bio-power dependencies.”

China’s Biological Warfare Program

In a 2015 academic paper, Shoham – of Bar-Ilan’s Begin-Sadat Center for Strategic Studies – asserts that more than 40 Chinese facilities are involved in bio-weapon production.

China’s Academy of Military Medical Sciences actually developed an Ebola drug – called JK-05 — but little has been divulged about it or the defence facility’s possession of the virus, prompting speculation its Ebola cells are part of China’s bio-warfare arsenal, Shoham told the National Post.

Ebola is classified as a “category A” bioterrorism agent by the U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, meaning it could be easily transmitted from person to person, would result in high death rates and “might cause panic.” The CDC lists Nipah as a category C substance, a deadly emerging pathogen that could be engineered for mass dissemination.

China’s Biological Warfare Program is believed to be in an advanced stage that includes research and development, production and weaponization capabilities. Its current inventory is believed to include the full range of traditional chemical and biological agents with a wide variety of delivery systems including artillery rockets, aerial bombs, sprayers, and short-range ballistic missiles.

Weaponizing Biotech

China’s national strategy of military-civil fusion has highlighted biology as a priority, and the People’s Liberation Army could be at the forefront of expanding and exploiting this knowledge.

The PLA is pursuing military applications for biology and looking into promising intersections with other disciplines, including brain science, supercomputing, and artificial intelligence. Since 2016, the Central Military Commission has funded projects on military brain science, advanced biomimetic systems, biological and biomimetic materials, human performance enhancement, and “new concept” biotechnology.

In 2016, an AMMS doctoral researcher published a dissertation, “Research on the Evaluation of Human Performance Enhancement Technology,” which characterized CRISPR-Cas as one of three primary technologies that might boost troops’ combat effectiveness. The supporting research looked at the effectiveness of the drug Modafinil, which has applications in cognitive enhancement; and at transcranial magnetic stimulation, a type of brain stimulation, while also contending that the “great potential” of CRISPR-Cas as a “military deterrence technology in which China should “grasp the initiative” in development.

In 2016, the potential strategic value of genetic information led the Chinese government to launch the National Genebank, which intends to become the world’s largest repository of such data. It aims to “develop and utilize China’s valuable genetic resources, safeguard national security in bioinformatics, and enhance China’s capability to seize the strategic commanding heights” in the domain of Biotechnology Warfare.

Source: https://greatgameindia.com

China has buried the truth about the coronavirus !

COVID-19 lies to keep Chinese economy going

Over the past 70 years, the Chinese Communist party has subjected its country to a succession of manmade catastrophes, from the Great Famine, the Cultural Revolution and the Tiananmen Square massacre, to the forceful suppression of rights in Hong Kong and Tibet, and the mass internment of Uighurs in Xinjiang. Official coverups and corruption have multiplied the death toll of natural calamities, from the Sars virus to the Sichuan earthquake.

Data on March 10th 2020 – Johns Hopkins University

Xi Jinping’s mishandling of the CoronaVirus Pandemic must now be added to the party’s shameful list of crimes. With serious outbreaks occurring in Japan, South Korea, Iran and Italy, it is clear that the virus of Xi’s totalitarian rule threatens the health and freedoms not only of the Chinese people, but of all of us everywhere.

PROPBABLY OVER 3 MILLION INFECTED CHINESE PEOPLE !

Xi’s vacuous, self-aggrandising ideological vision lies at the heart of this global crisis. When he was appointed party leader in 2012, he announced his “China dream” of national rejuvenation, promising that the country would be moderately prosperous by the party’s 2021 centenary, and fully advanced into global economic hegemony by the republic’s centenary in 2049. Xi vowed that, by then, the world would concede that his one-party dictatorship is superior to the mess of liberal democracy.

Appointing himself “president for life”, Xi now has more power than any party leader since Mao Zedong, and has crushed all dissent by attempting to build a hi-tech totalitarian state. The Communist party is an insidious pathogen that has infected the Chinese people since 1949. But under Xi’s rule, it has mutated into its most sinister form, allowing capitalism to grow rapaciously while reaffirming Leninist control. The promise of wealth and national glory has blinded many Chinese people to the chains around their feet, and to the barbed wire around the faraway internment camps.

OFFICIAL CORONA / COVID-19 FIGURES – 50% DEATHS ?!?

In a speech on 31 December 2019, Xi heralded triumphantly a new year of “milestone significance in realising the first centenary goal!” Naturally, he didn’t mention the mysterious pneumonia reported that day by health authorities in Wuhan, Hubei province. Although the World Health Organization had been notified, the Chinese people were largely kept in the dark. How could an invisible bug be allowed to dampen the glory of Xi’s China dream?

In times of crisis, the party always places its own survival above the welfare of the people. Li Wenliang, an ophthalmologist at Wuhan central hospital, has become the tragic symbol of this disaster. On 30 December, he notified his former medical classmates on WeChat that seven people with an unspecified coronavirus, which reminded him of Sars (the virus that killed almost 800 people in 2003), were in quarantine at his hospital, and advised them to protect themselves. In any normal society, this wouldn’t be considered subversive – but in China, even a small act of kindness, a cautious and private alert to colleagues, can land a person in political danger. On 3 January, Li was reprimanded by police – he then went back to work, and within days contracted the virus.

Over the next two weeks – the critical window of containment – authorities claimed the problem was under control. But coronavirus is indifferent to the vain desires of despots. Left unchecked, it spread. By the time Xi deigned to publicly acknowledge the outbreak, on 20 January, ordering it to be “resolutely contained”, it was too late.

On 23 January, Wuhan was placed in lockdown. Yet on that same day, at a reception in Beijing, Xi merely stressed the need to “race against time and keep abreast with history to realise the first centenary goal of the China dream of national rejuvenation”. Videos on WeChat and Weibo revealed the hollowness of Xi’s ambitions. There was footage of deserted boulevards in affected cities. Corpses lying unattended on pavements. A woman on the balcony of a luxury tower block striking a gong and wailing into the sky: “My mother is dying, rescue me!”

As Li lay on his deathbed on 30 January, he revealed the truth about his experience of the epidemic. Despite being a party member, he spoke to the New York Times about official failures to disclose essential information about the virus to the public, and told the Beijing-based journal Caixin: “A healthy society cannot have just one voice.” In that one sentence, he identified the root cause of China’s sickness. Xi suppresses truth and information to create his utopian “harmonious” society. But harmony can only emerge from a plurality of differing voices, not from the one-note monologue of a tyrant.

After the eruption of public grief and anger that followed Li’s death on 6 February, the government backtracked, and hailed the doctor they had muzzled “a hero”. But behind the scenes, the silencing continued: several people who documented and spoke out about state handling of the outbreak were detained.

In the thick of calamity, people finally understand that if your leaders have no regard for human life or liberty, no amount of money can save you. Entire families have been wiped out by the virus as more than 70 million people have been confined to their homes. Chinese officials have today reported 78,064 infections and 2,715 deaths, mostly in Hubei. But no one trusts the party’s figures. The only certainty about the numbers it releases is that they are the numbers it wants you to believe. In an effort to change the narrative after Li’s death, the party has called for a people’s war against the virus, and has urged journalists to replace “negative content” on social media with “touching stories from the frontline of combating the disease”. Having buried the truth about the calamity of the Cultural Revolution and other earlier crimes, the party is now dragging the nation back to its Maoist past.

Official language is being contaminated once more with military jargon; society is being divided once more into antagonist groups – not the proletariat against the bourgeoisie, but the infected against the yet-to-be-infected. Rural police post videos of their attacks on citizens who dare venture outside without a face mask.

The state media have posted photographs of pregnant nurses in hazmat suits serving on the frontline; there are masked patients in another field hospital being awarded party membership on their deathbeds, joyfully raising their fists in the air as they pledge undying loyalty to Xi. To anyone with a conscience, these sad individuals look like victims of an inhumane cult. That it is believed these snapshots could promote “positive energy” reveals the moral abyss into which totalitarianism has sunk the nation.

Meanwhile, with the epidemic still raging, Xi has ordered the country back to work, all to ensure that the economic targets of his 21st-century goals are met. Of course, he is keeping the political elite safe, though, by postponing the National People’s Congress in March. Further proof, if it was at all needed, that Xi’s China dream is a sham.

• Ma Jian is an author from Qingdao, China. He left Beijing for Hong Kong in 1987 as a dissident, and after the handover moved to London. All his books are banned in China. Check Updates Yourself @ CSSE

Source : TheGuardian

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If Coronavirus is not stopped now, It’ll Be Armageddon !

This week a new phrase – social distancing measures – entered our lexicon.

Introduced by Dr. Nancy Messonnier, director of the Center for the National Center for Immunization and Respiratory Diseases at the CDC, she described “social distancing measures” as part of standard protocol to limit “community spread” of disease in the case of a pandemic, which the coronavirus (officially COVID-19) has not yet reached but threatens to do so.

The President and government officials are working valiantly to reassure Americans that the “threat to the American public remains low,” as VP Pence said in Wednesday’s nationally televised news conference.

However, in a separate news briefing the same day, Dr. Messonier was less than reassuring. “Ultimately, we expect we will see community spread in this country,” she said. “It’s not so much a question of if this will happen anymore, but rather more a question of exactly when this will happen and how many people in this country will have severe illness.”

During that briefing, she outlined three categories of non-pharmaceutical interventions or NPIs to contain community spread of the virus. There are common-sense personal NPIs like washing hands, covering coughs, and not touching one’s face. Environmental NPIs include frequent washing of surfaces people touch.

And then there are community NPIs. “Social distancing measures designed to keep people who are sick away from others,” she said. “These are practical measures that can help limit exposure by reducing exposure in community settings.” In other words, keeping out of public places and in one’s home to avoid potential exposure.

It may mean closing schools and businesses, as has been done in Northern Italy, an emerging hot spot for the disease. The Guardian described the region as effectively in “lockdown” with schools, businesses, public offices, and restaurants closed, and sporting events and religious services canceled.

Recognizing there is a tremendous amount of uncertainty about what’s to come because this is a new virus and totally unpredictable, Dr. Messonnier stressed that community interventions will vary depending on local conditions. But she also warned, “We would implement these NPI measures in a very aggressive, proactive way.” The CDC has set up a separate website to provide updates on the progress of the disease in the country.

Community interventions will mean closed businesses

Should community NPIs become necessary, it could be devastating to brick-and-mortar retailers especially, but even to e-commerce retailers which may be forced to close fulfillment facilities or be unable to make home deliveries. Forgive me for going biblical on you, but since we’ve long talked about the “retail apocalypse,” we may as well go all the way to the potential for a retail Armageddon if our public health officials enact such aggressive, proactive measures to halt the spread of the disease.

We all hope and pray this disease abates like the flu as the warm weather arrives, but it may take a turn for the worse. Nobody knows. Nobody can predict. And it may come back stronger in the fall, as flu typically does.

Consumer confidence shaken

Already investors are seeing the writing on the wall. The Wall Street Journal reported that the Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 12.4% this week with a drop of more than 3,500 points, making February the worst month since 2009.

Doug Cohen, managing director at Athena Capital Advisors, is quoted saying, “This unfortunately is the perfect storm. This is not something out of a standard economic textbook.” Combine consumers’ fear of contracting a potentially fatal disease with fears about the economy and you have that “perfect storm” Cohen speaks about coming to retailers dependent on consumer confidence to open their wallets and spend. Also on Wednesday, the National Retail Federation’s president and CEO Matthew Shay was characteristically bullish about prospects for retail in 2020.  

“The nation’s record-long economic expansion is continuing, and consumers remain the drivers of that expansion,” he said, predicting that retail sales will increase between 3.5% and 4.1% in 2020, “despite uncertainty from the lingering trade war, coronavirus and the presidential election.”

“With gains in household income and wealth, lower interest rates and strong consumer confidence, we expect another healthy year ahead,” he continued. “There are always wild cards we cannot control like coronavirus and a politically charged election year. But when it comes to the fundamentals, our economy is sound and consumers continue to lead the way.”

Consumers signal caution

However, a new survey indicates consumers are leading the way to a slowdown in retail sales, not an uptick especially if the coronavirus takes hold.

“U.S. consumers are already becoming cautious—and if the situation worsens (or even the perception of the situation), U.S. consumers could dramatically change habits to reduce the risk of infection, and this could hit retailers hard,” Coresight Research reports from its survey among 2,000 adult Americans conducted February 25-26.

Currently, some 28% of those surveyed said they are already steering clear of public places, like shopping centers, entertainment venues, and changing travel plans.

Further, 58% said they will avoid public areas or travel if the outbreak worsens in the U.S., with about one-fifth as of now uncertain what they will do if it becomes more of a threat. Frankly, those undecideds may have no choice depending upon the measures enacted by public health officials.

Digging deeper into consumers’ expectations of how their behavior will change, the survey found shopping centers and malls are the first place consumers will avoid, followed by public transportation and international travel.

Some 75% of those who say their behavior will change if the outbreak worsens will avoid malls, as compared with 73% avoiding public transportation, and 68% postponing international travel.

As compared with shopping centers and malls, they are less likely to stay out of stores in general, with some 53% of those who expect to change behavior if the outbreak worsens saying they will avoid stores.

But it is far more likely they will shop primarily for necessities in grocery, drug, and hardware stores, rather than stores that cater to discretionary purchases. Restaurants, bars, and coffee shops are also likely to take a hit, with 61% saying they will avoid these if the outbreak worsens.

Beyond necessity purchases, retailers’ success is far more dependent on how people feel. If consumers feel confident, they will spend. If they don’t, then they will delay unnecessary purchases and sit tight. That is what could happen if this disease advances, as it likely will.

Picking up the pieces in the aftermath

Assuming a best-case scenario, retailers might take a short-term hit, but consumers could come back strong later to make up their delayed purchases. But retailers should plan for rising consumer uncertainty that could have devastating long-term consequences.

In a recent article by Jing Daily columnist Jiaqi Loa, exploring the psychological impacts of the coronavirus on Chinese citizens, wrote, “It’s become a disorienting, time-stopping social disaster. How can a company convey a marketing message that doesn’t sound out of place to a public who just experienced this type of fear, trauma, and paranoia?”

American consumers are already on edge, as the Coresight Research study indicates, and with the stock market imploding this week amid fears it will continue to tank, consumer confidence could be rattled to the core, like it was in 2008-2009. In a prescient article by fellow Forbes.com contributor Nikki Baird, she predicts the coming decade may bring the “death of consumerism.”

She writes, “Consumers are becoming more mindful and sensitive to their environmental footprint, and consumerism is highly vulnerable to that sensitivity. I would even go so far as to say that in the next decade, retail sees a substantial shrinking of consumerism.” Even before the coronavirus, there have been deep changes taking place in the minds of consumers, resulting from their growing recognition that our consumer culture is a major contributor to environmental damage.

Combine this with the psychologically-disorienting effect from fear of catching a contagious disease and any self-imposed or even forced halt to unnecessary shopping caused by a potential pandemic, and we can expect dramatic changes to how consumers shop and what they spend their money on. 

A perfect retail storm is brewing. It may mean deep and long-lasting changes in consumer psychology. We can hope for the best, but we need to plan for the worse.

Source: Forbes

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CoronaVirus outbreak predicted in 1981 by Dean Koontz !

COVID-19 predicted in 1981 !?!

Did a 1981 Dean Koontz thriller predict the coronavirus outbreak? Readers share extracts from novel which chillingly refers to deadly viral infection named after Wuhan.

Koontz novel The Eyes Of Darkness describes a killer virus named ‘Wuhan-400’ The fictional virus was developed as a bioweapon in Wuhan research lab. Coronavirus first emerged from the same Chinese city in December 2019 However there are several big differences between the novel and real life

Dean Koontz wrote The Eyes Of Darkness in 1981, describing the ‘Wuhan-400’ virus. Fans of author Dean Koontz are insisting that a novel he wrote in 1981 predicted the coronavirus outbreak.

Koontz’s thriller The Eyes Of Darkness describes a killer virus named ‘Wuhan-400‘ after the Chinese city it originated in — the same city where COVID-19 was first reported.

Says one character in the novel: ‘They call the stuff ‘Wuhan-400’ because it was developed at their RDNA labs outside the city of Wuhan.’

‘A Dean Koontz novel written in 1981 predicted the outbreak of the coronavirus!’ wrote Twitter user Nick Hinton, who first posted a screenshot of the passage from the novel earlier this month. Koontz did not immediately respond to an inquiry from DailyMail.com about the purported prediction in his novel.

Wuhan Virology Lab

Although coronavirus was first identified in Wuhan, there is not yet scientific consensus about how and where it jumped to humans. Initial theories suggested that it jumped to humans from exotic animals in a Wuhan ‘wet market.’ Others have suggested, so far without proof, that the pathogen may have escaped from the Wuhan Virology Lab, China’s only biosafety-level four facility.

Other than the city of origin, however, there is little similarity between the fictional Wuhan-400 and the real coronavirus. In The Eyes Of Darkness, Wuhan-400 is a bioweapon virus that has a fatality rate of 100 percent within 12 hours.

The characters explain that the Chinese intended to use it ‘to wipe out a city or a country’ without the need for ‘expensive decontamination’. ‘Wuhan-400 is a perfect weapon. It afflicts only human beings. No other living creature can carry it. And like syphilis, Wuhan-400 can’t survive outside a living human body for longer than a minute, which means it can’t permanently contaminate objects or entire places the way anthrax and other virulent microorganisms can,’ one character says.

2020 CORONAVIRUS PREDICTION

Despite the surface similarity, there are big differences between Koontz’s fictional virus and the real coronavirus:

  • Fictional Wuhan-400
  • Origin: Wuhan, China
  • Incubation period: Four hours
  • Symptoms: Infects and eats away brain tissue like acid
  • Mortality rate: 100%
  • Real Coronavirus / COVID-19
  • Origin: Wuhan, China
  • Incubation period: one to three weeks
  • Symptoms: Fever, Cough, Shortness of breath
  • Mortality rate: Estimated 3% – 5%

Coronavirus however has an estimated mortality rate of just 3 to 5 percent. It can survive on surfaces for much longer than a minute, possibly hours or days, though scientists are working now to determine such properties with more precision.

In the Koontz novel, the Wuhan-400 attacks the brain.

As one character describes it: ‘The virus migrates to the brain stem, and there it begins secreting a toxin that literally eats away brain tissue like battery acid dissolving cheesecloth. It destroys the part of the brain that controls all of the body’s automatic functions.’

Coronavirus, on the other hand, primarily affects the respiratory system, in severe cases resulting in pneumonia. The primary symptoms are fever, coughing, and shortness of breath.

The book also describes a virus that has an incubation period of just four hours, whereas coronavirus incubates for several days to two weeks.
Finally, to the disappointment of conspiracy theorists, it turns out that in the first edition of The Eyes Of Darkness, the virus was originally called ‘Gorki-400’, after the Russian city where Koontz originally wrote the bioweapons lab. After the Soviet Union fell in 1991, Koontz apparently changed later editions to make China the villain.

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Incubation Period CoronaVirus

Wuhan Novel Coronavirus (2019-nCoV) Incubation Period

The incubation period (time from exposure to the development of symptoms) of the virus is estimated to be between 3 and 29 days based on the following sources:

  • The World Health Organization (WHO) reported an incubation period for 2019-nCoV between 2 and 10 days.
  • China’s National Health Commission (NHC) had initially estimated an incubation period from 10 to 23 days.
  • The United States’ CDC estimates the incubation period for 2019-nCoV to be between 2 and 21 days.
  • DXY.cn, a leading Chinese online community for physicians and health care professionals, is reporting an incubation period of “3 to 14 days, up to 27 days”.

The estimated range will be most likely narrowed down as more data becomes available.

Incubation period of up to 29 days?

The incubation period has been found to be as long as 24 days (range: 0-24 days; median: 3.0 days) in a study published on February 9.

The WHO said in a press conference on February 10 that:

  • a very long incubation period could reflect a double exposure.
  • 24 days represented an outlier observation that must be taken into consideration in the context of the main finding of the study.
  • WHO is not considering changing recommendations regarding incubation periods.

More recently, however, a case with an incubation period of 23 days was observed in a JAMA study published on Feb. 23., and another case with an incubation period of 29 days was reported by Hubei Province on Feb. 25

Incubation period of 7.2 days on average

A Chinese study published in the New England Journal of Medicine on Jan. 30, has found the incubation period to be 7.2 days on average, but it varies greatly among patients. The Chinese team conducting the study said their findings support a 14-day medical observation period for people exposed to the pathogen.

Below is an extract of the study findings:

Among the first 425 patients with confirmed NCIP, the median age was 53 years and 56% were male. The majority of cases (55%) with onset before January 1, 2020, were linked to the Huanan Seafood Wholesale Market, as compared with 8.6% of the subsequent cases.

The mean incubation period was 5.2 days (95% confidence interval [CI], 4.1 to 7.0), with the 95th percentile of the distribution at 12.5 days.

In its early stages, the epidemic doubled in size every 7.4 days. With a mean serial interval of 7.5 days (95% CI, 5.3 to 19), the basic reproductive number was estimated to be 2.2 (95% CI, 1.4 to 3.9).

Conclusions On the basis of this information, there is evidence that human-to-human transmission has occurred among close contacts since the middle of December 2019. Considerable efforts to reduce transmission will be required to control outbreaks if similar dynamics apply elsewhere. Measures to prevent or reduce transmission should be implemented in populations at risk.

The importance of knowing the incubation period

Understanding the incubation period is very important for health authorities as it allows them to introduce more effective quarantine systems for people suspected of carrying the virus, as a way of controlling and hopefully preventing the spread of the virus.

Comparison with other viruses

For comparison, the incubation period for the common flu (seasonal influenza) is typically around 2 days. Incubation period for other coronaviruses: SARS 2-7 days; MERS 5 days typically (range 2-14 days).

Summary of findings:

  • 2-14 days represents the current official estimated range for the novel coronavirus COVID-19.
  • However, a case with an incubation period of 29 days has been reported by Hubei Province local government on Feb. 22
  • In addition, a case with an incubation period of 23 days was observed in a JAMA study of 5 cases published on Feb. 21.
  • An outlier of a 24 days incubation period had been for the first time observed in a Feb. 9 study. WHO said at the time that this could actually reflect a second exposure rather than a long incubation period, and that it wasn’t going to change its recommendations.
  • Period can vary greatly among patients.
  • Mean incubation period observed:
    3.0 days     (0 – 24 days range, study based on 1,324 cases)
    7.2 days (4.1 – 7.0 days range, based on 425 cases).
  • Mean incubation period observed in travelers from Wuhan:
    6.4 days     (range from 2.1 to 11.1 days).
Filed Under: Prophecies

War Rumors

“Jesus answered and said to them . . . ‘And you will hear of wars and rumors of wars. See that you are not troubled; for all these things must come to pass, but the end is not yet. For nation will rise against nation, and kingdom against kingdom.” (Matthew 24:6-7)

War and rumors of War

 

Traditional Middle East rivals Iran and Turkey have found themselves united of late by their mutual opposition to Kurdish independence in Iraq and common interest in ending the six-year war in Syria, among other leading issues in the region. Iranian President Hassan Rouhani and Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan spoke Sunday by phone, expressing major concerns a day before voting opened in the northern Kurdish autonomous region of neighboring Iraq. Monday’s referendum, in which the region’s residents are largely expected to ask for full independence from Baghdad, has been met with widespread criticism from Iraq’s central government, as well as from Iran and Turkey, which have battled insurgencies from their own local Kurdish populations and have taken countermeasures to quell potential instability the vote could bring.

War with N-Korea to start soon ? U.S. Ambassador to the United Nations Nikki Haley said on Sunday the U.N. Security Council has run out of options on containing North Korea’s nuclear program and the United States may have to turn the matter over to the Pentagon.

At least 36 people have died in Egypt after blasts targeted Coptic Christians on Palm Sunday. The attack is just the latest strike in the war on Christians in the Middle East. As Jonathan Sacks observed: ‘until recently, Christians represented 20 percent of the population of the Middle East; today, 4 percent’.

Sweden is reportedly preparing hundreds of nuclear war shelters to prepare for a potential attack from Russia amid growing concerns in the Baltics.

Supporters of NATO believe American, British and German soldiers being sent to Russia’s borders is “defensive.” But the Kremlin’s counter moves are aggressive. This delusion could be dangerous.

Recent Russian naval activity in Europe exceeds levels seen during the Cold War, a top U.S. and NATO military officer said, voicing concern that the distributed nature of the deployments could end up “splitting and distracting” the transatlantic alliance.

“Jesus answered and said to them . . . ‘And you will hear of wars and rumors of wars’. See that you are not troubled; for all these things must come to pass, but the end is not yet. For nation will rise against nation and kingdom against kingdom. All these are the beginning of sorrows. (Matthew 24:6-7)

Now as He (Jesus-Yeshua) sat on the Mount of Olives (in Israel), the disciples came to Him privately, saying, ‘Tell us, when will these things be?’ And ‘What will be the sign of Your coming, and of the end of the Age?’ (Matthew 24:3)

World War III Alamongordo.COM - http://www.alamongordo.com

War and rumors of War, war talk, rumors of war, world war III, And you will hear of wars and rumors of wars, See that you are not troubled, for all these things must come to pass, but the end is not yet, for nation will rise against nation, kingdom will rise against kingdom, these are the beginning of sorrows, Matthew 24:6-7

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